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How far to bow to Pakistan?

How far to bow to Pakistan?

Author: Bill Nichols
Publication: USA Today
Date: October 25, 2001

Some worry policy is too focused on helping Musharraf

Washington - When the Bush administration began to mount a military response to the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, senior officials faced a central question: Would Pakistan help?

The answer, to the relief of President Bush and his team, was yes. But as the U.S. campaign in Afghanistan continues, a new worry is being voiced in Washington: Is concern for the stability of Pakistan's military regime driving U.S. policy?

''We've been bending over backward too far to make sure Pakistan's feelings don't get hurt,'' Rep. Dana Rohrabacher, R-Calif., told Secretary of State Colin Powell on Wednesday during Powell's appearance on Capitol Hill.

There is wide agreement within the administration that the assistance of Gen. Pervez Musharraf's government is crucial to U.S. success in Afghanistan. Pakistani intelligence on Afghanistan's Taliban regime is key, as is the ability of U.S. troops to use Pakistan as a staging ground.

Policymakers also agree about the fragility of Musharraf's government, which is faced with opposition to the U.S. campaign among Islamic radicals sympathetic to the Taliban.

''Musharraf is riding a tiger. I am very concerned about the stability of his regime,'' said Brent Scowcroft, who was national security adviser to the first President Bush.

But recent public comments by senior administration officials suggest an internal debate on how much U.S. policy should bend to try to help prop up Musharraf.

U.S. officials deny any split on either military or diplomatic strategy. But statements by Powell, in particular, suggest a deeper concern within the State Department that Pakistan's political needs remain a key basis for future military and diplomatic decisions.

''The State Department is very fearful of the attitude in the street of Pakistan and the danger that a popular uprising against Musharraf's government is quite serious,'' says Ted Galen Carpenter, a foreign policy analyst at the Cato Institute.

In his Hill appearance, Powell said Pakistan, which has deep ties to the Taliban, will not be allowed to unduly influence the formation of a new Afghan government.

''The next government of Afghanistan cannot be dictated into existence by Pakistan or any other neighbors,'' Powell said. ''It has to come into existence by the will of the Afghan people.''

But other Powell comments that appear to echo Pakistani concerns have been at odds with others in the administration.

One example: Musharraf has urged the administration to end its military campaign quickly and to be respectful of the Muslim holy month of Ramadan, which begins in mid- November. In recent appearances, Powell has said the administration will consider those concerns.

During a news conference with British Foreign Secretary Jack Straw on Wednesday, Powell said he would like to see the operation accomplish its objectives ''in the next few days.'' The administration is ''sensitive to Ramadan, but we can't let that be the sole determinant'' for military operations, Powell said.

Pentagon officials, however, said flatly that there are no time constraints on the campaign. Army Gen. Tommy Franks, head of U.S. Central Command, said in Bahrain on Wednesday, ''The operations we undertake go on 24 hours a day.''

Musharraf also has urged Washington to consider including some elements of the Taliban in any post-war government.

In Islamabad last week, Powell suggested that moderate members of the Taliban could serve in a new Afghan government. Powell has since qualified his remarks, saying Taliban rank-and-file could serve in a new government but no one in the current regime.

But his original statement raised hackles with other U.S. allies, specifically India and Russia.

On Monday, Russian President Vladimir Putin ruled out participation by the Taliban. He said it had ''compromised itself'' by cooperating with international terrorists.
 


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