“Inordinate Fear” of Collapsing Islamist Regimes

Author: Mark Steyn
Publication: Jerusalem Post
Date: January 30, 2003

Last weekend was going pretty swimmingly for me. All over the TV,  the news shows reported on the "peace" demonstrations "sweeping"  America, though you couldn't help noticing the cameras always stayed  in tight, no wide shots, just close-ups in some cases, because there  were only six "peace" lovers present; in others, to avoid showing  the vast numbers of nutters.

In Washington, where the pro-Pol Pot, pro-Tiananmen bloodbath  Stalinists of ANSWER were running things, the off-the-graph leftism  tended to the dour and earnest.

In San Francisco, the mood was more eclectic, and not just because  of the "Transsexual Vegan Lesbian Epidemiologist Punk For Peace"  (really). The sign designers had put a lot of effort into detailed  retouching of photographs: Dick Cheney was der Fuhrer ("already in  his bunker"), but so was Bush ("Stop The Bushitler"). There was a  sign saying: "The Difference Between Bush And Saddam Is That Saddam  Was Elected."

Yes, indeed. No hanging chads in Halabja. There was an Uncle Sam  recruiting slogan: "I Want YOU To Die For Israel. Israel Sings  Onward Christian Soldiers."

One woman marched under the slogan "This Bush Is For Peace,"  accompanied by a picture of ...well, let's not get into that. In a  similar vein, another lady waxed eloquent: "Trim Bush."  Conspicuously absent were even the pro-forma denunciations of  Saddam "Of course, I want to see Saddam removed, but..."

As John Le Carre put it in The Times of London, "I would love to see  Saddam's downfall just not on Bush's terms and not by his methods.  And not under the banner of such outrageous hypocrisy." The enemy of  my enemy is my real enemy.

Thus, the main planks of the anti-war platform: It's not all about  oil; it's also about Hitler, the Florida recount, dying for those  devious Jews, and letting me show you my pubic hair. The much- invoked Gandhi managed to get through a demo without whipping his  loincloth off, but then he had a goal he wanted to achieve.

So I couldn't have been happier. After a weekend-long narcissistic  freak show, the pro-war numbers were bound to go up.

And then Rumsfeld went on TV.

On ABC, the secretary of defense told his interviewer that war with  Iraq could be avoided if "the senior leadership in that country and  their families could be provided haven in some other country." Hang  on. You mean, if Saddam, his sons and a couple of other A-list  psychos move into Robert Mugabe's rental condo, that's it? Game  over? In the last year, neither Rummy nor any other administration  player has ever expressed such a shriveled war aim.

At first, I assumed some peeling flakes of lead paint from the  dressing-room radiator had momentarily deranged him. But then he  chugged over to Fox News and expanded on his remarks. It would  appear to be an official "talking point."

The president's hope is that "Saddam Hussein will leave the  country... His neighboring states are in a process now of trying to  avoid a conflict there by having him leave the country." No, no, no.

Swapping Saddam for a less psychopathic Saddamite who forswears  extraterritorial ambitions and agrees only to a little light  terrorism of his own people would be a total waste of time. It's not  about Saddam any more than it was about Osama bin Laden (1957-2001).  The issue for the West is how to dismantle not Saddam's warheads but  the system that produces the Saddams and Osamas.

Cherrypicking a more pliable strongman won't do it. What kind of  Iraqi president does Rumsfeld have in mind? A man in the mold of  such renowned Washington allies as Hosni Mubarak? Mubarak's Egypt  produced the leader of the September 11 murderers, the principal  Islamist agitator in Britain, the highest-ranking al-Qaeda terrorist  in Canada, etc. There's no point even bothering with Iraq if you're  going to settle for a Mubarak.

ONE OF the peculiarities of this conflict is that the Left are now  the jaded cynics and we right-wing crazies are the idealists arguing  that the peoples of the Middle East deserve their freedom. This  isn't because we're starry-eyed, but because, being hard-hearted  right-wingers, we understand that there's no alternative. As long as  the Arab states are such comprehensive failures, their leaders will  have a vested interest in making sure their wretched subjects remain  mired in a grievance culture that blames that failure on others  i.e., us.

Given the rate of Muslim emigration to Europe, Australia and North  America, the psychosis of their failure has already spread to  Manchester, Copenhagen, Paris, Sydney, Buffalo and Toronto. In the  end, difficult as it will be, the problem has to be fixed at source,  and the best place to do that with a reasonable shot at success is  Iraq the least Islamist of Arab societies.

In most Muslim countries, as bad as the government is, its opponents  are worse that goes for Saudi Arabia, Algeria, Egypt, Jordan,  Pakistan, the Palestinian Authority.... The Iraqi National Congress  is a notable exception to that rule.

What's more, anyone who says you can't create a functioning  civilized society in Iraq overlooks the fact that there already is  one: beneath the Anglo-American no-fly zones, the Saddam-free  Kurdish areas of Iraq have quietly created democratic political  structures including multiparty legislatures and accountable  executives and prime ministers; there is a free press and an  independent judiciary, including female judges, and universities  that teach subjects other than suicide bombing and the descent of  Jews from pigs.

These are imperfect statelets, but then so are Wales and Quebec and  California. The important point is there's not a lot of Kurds  sitting in English council flats plotting jihad. They've got better  things to do.

Many of us on the Right think the Kurdish experiments are worth  spreading to the rest of Iraq and then beyond. The best future for a  post-Saddam state is as a loose federation whose central government  has minimal powers but international guarantees. You can't do that  if you simply transfer power from a Ba'ath Party monster to a Ba'ath  Party apparatchik.

In other words, removing Saddam is a means, not an end. When Joschka  Fischer twitters hysterically (as he did this week)  about "disastrous consequences for long-term regional stability," he  implicitly acknowledges this: He understands that creating a  decentralized, secular democracy in Iraq will have a knock-on effect  on its neighbors. (Why this bothers him is a more perplexing  matter.) The re-making of Iraq is meant to rattle the terror- exporting Saudis.

The overthrow of Saddam would merely let them off the hook. Again.

Don Rumsfeld, perhaps the sharpest thinker in the cabinet, must know  all this. So the only reason he'd say such a thing is because war's  going to start any day now. Isn't it?

Mark Steyn is senior contributing editor for Hollinger Inc.
 


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