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Tightrope Walk - Terror aftermath creates complex reality

Tightrope Walk - Terror aftermath creates complex reality

Author: Editorial
Publication: The Statesman
Date: September 22, 2001

The terror attacks on the US has created several complicated new realities, among which is that while it is necessary to take on global terror networks which are of religious inspiration, it would be counter-productive if the international campaign against terror were to appear to target Islam itself. The US public clearly demands that the culprits be brought to justice as soon as possible, but the administration has wisely refrained from precipitate action, with Secretary of State Colin Powell working nonstop to put together an international coalition against terror, and getting NATO and Russia to put out a joint statement that the attacks would not go unpunished, while considerable time has been given to the Taliban to surrender Osama bin Laden. Hotheads in the administration, such as Paul Wolfowitz, deputy secretary of defence, who want an immediate and all-out assault on Afghanistan, Iraq and the Bekaa valley in Lebanon - playground of the radical Hezbollah - have been overruled. What is more necessary than, say, carpet-bombing Afghanistan, is pooling of information and intelligence by various states on the global terror network, which is why Powell and Bush are courting West Asian states who can be a rich source of information, particularly since most of the known terrorists are from that part of the world. Besides, the participation of Muslim states in the coalition means that it can no longer be seen as anti-Islamic, causing Powell to contact even radical states like Syria, even though this is evoking considerable unease in Israel and occasional defiant noises from the hawkish Ariel Sharon.

There are some similarities with the situation in the subcontinent, where unease has been aroused in India at the fact that General Musharraf has been dragged kicking and screaming into the anti-terror coalition. Pakistan has agreed to allow American troops to be based at key airfields near the Afghan border, at Peshawar, Quetta and further south at Kharan in Baluchistan. There is also the possibility of the US Navy's armada of warships, which is assembling in the Arabian Sea, using Karachi's main port. These forces will be used against Osama bin Laden and the Taliban. Since the Taliban was created, to cite a Pakistani general, to create "strategic space" for Pakistan, this 180 degree turn in Pakistani policy is going to be a bitter bullet to bite for both the army and domestic opinion. Musharraf had to take it at considerable risk to himself; the specific counter-demands he has made include economic aid, a lifting of the sanctions and mediation on Kashmir. If jehadis make war on Musharraf when, as seems imminent, the Americans make war on the Taliban, India's worst nightmares could come true if a radical Islamic regime, armed with nuclear weapons, were to come to power in Islamabad. It is therefore not necessarily against India's interests if the Americans were to prop up Musharraf with economic aid. Besides, any degradation of the global terror network by American action in Afghanistan will have knock-on effects in Kashmir, since sources of funding and personnel are often the same.

As for Musharraf raising Kashmir, Indian anxieties are understandable, but from the American point of view it would hardly make sense to make war on Taliban-ruled Afghanistan while allowing Kashmir to be turned into another Afghanistan. Indo-Pak relations need not be turned into a zero-sum game, whereby any approbation for Pakistan should give rise to debilitating anxiety attacks in Delhi. Nevertheless, Indian diplomacy needs to be extraordinarily active and skillful in these perilous times. It needs to impress upon the Americans, for example, the necessity of toppling the Taliban if sanctuary is to be denied to future Osama bin Ladens, and needs to stay in there to ensure that future political arrangements in Afghanistan do not consist, once again, of Pakistani proteges. To do so it will have its work cut out, but the rewards are worth it.
 


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