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Under America's shadow

Under America's shadow

Author: Ghazi Salahuddin
Publication: The Jang
Date: June 15, 2003
URL: http://jang.com.pk/thenews/jun2003-daily/15-06-2003/oped/o2.htm

Considering the influence that America exercises over our lives and our national sense of direction, we should have a right to vote for the president of the United States. But we did not even vote for our own president. He seems to have been 'elected' for us by the present American administration. At the same time, democracy is said to be the name of the game. At least that is the American ideal and the inspiration that many of us have gained from America's historical experience. Somehow, the making of the new free world after the end of the cold war has been disrupted by 9/11. And Afghanistan. And Iraq. So where do we belong in this sorry scheme of things entire?

Fortunately, America would support President Gen Pervez Musharraf's freshly articulated resolve to challenge religious extremists. This should be a major point of reference in President Musharraf's meeting with President George W. Bush at Camp David in about a week's time. We can expect the US to prescribe a proper strategy for creation of conditions in which Pakistan does not become a breeding ground for al-Qaeda activists. It is interesting that President Musharraf has now identified the threat of Talibanisation. This expression has been used for a long time by us, the poor scribes, though the rulers gave little heed to our warnings.

Unfortunately, the entire issue of how the Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal, the religious alliance, came into being and became a key element in the combined opposition's campaign against the Legal Framework Order is the offspring of President Musharraf's own convoluted devices. Again, many of us had seen this coming in the wake of a rigged electoral process. Pakistan has suffered because its liberal and democratic political forces were wilfully alienated.

All this has left our society in a state of disequilibrium. We do hear good tidings on the economic front but the present arrangement is visibly under pressure. With the MMA in power in the crucial Frontier province, bordering Afghanistan, and leading the offensive against the king's party at the centre, it would appear as if democracy in Pakistan would inevitably promote religious militancy. Should the US, then, support democratic dispensation in Pakistan or a chief of the army staff who came into power by overthrowing an elected government and then became president through constitutionally dubious means?

We know that the choice is not a simple one. Essentially, America has also to contend with widespread anti-American feelings in not just the Muslim world but also, after the Iraq war, in many western countries. In Pakistan, MMA has effectively mobilised this feeling and it also serves as a barrier to America's war against terrorism in this region. In fact, a large segment of the MMA was seen as an ally of the Taliban in Afghanistan and it is feared that the Frontier province and the tribal belt along the Afghan frontier may serve as a sanctuary for al-Qaeda and Taliban activists.

America's predicament as the sole superpower has become a subject of intense analysis and interpretation at the global level. Many observers compare its present influence with the supremacy of the British Empire in the nineteenth century. One historian, Niall Ferguson, has said that the United States is the empire that dare not speak its name. "It is an empire in denial, and the US denial of this poses a real danger to the world. An empire that doesn't recognise its own power is a dangerous one". The gist of it all is that no country can ignore America's power and its policies. The New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman has quoted a Pakistani diplomat as saying that during the nineties, America began to touch people's lives around the planet "more than their own governments".

Without going into the mind-boggling statistics of America's military, economic and technological power, we have also to realise what America is unable to do, as the situation in Iraq would testify. What it can do in Pakistan is something that we should seriously ponder at a time when President Musharraf is about to go to the States and to other important European capitals. Irrespective of what our feelings are about the 'empire', it should be a source of some satisfaction for us that President Musharraf will be an honoured visitor to be received by President Bush at Camp David.

According to The Washington Post, some Bush aides were worried about how India would react to the visit but intelligence agencies strongly supported the Camp David treatment for President Musharraf as a "reward for his continuing help in the war on terrorism". This, perhaps, does not mean that we would not be assigned some new responsibilities that may require adjustments in policies that our present rulers have pursued in divergence with the spirit of that famous U-turn. It is expected that America would want us to take firm measures against al- Qaeda establishing a base in Pakistan. In addition, we would be required to improve our relations with India.

In both these areas, the growth of Islamic fundamentalism and relations with India, Pakistan's military establishment has played a dominant role. The problem now is that any new initiatives in this context would call for some decisive moves in the domestic arena. Chances for reconciliation between India and Pakistan promise a new era of hope in the area of darkness that South Asia has become. But will President Musharraf make the necessary moves, resolve the LFO deadlock and restore democratic norms in the country's politics? Both America's and President Musharraf's policies will be severely tested in the wilderness of Pakistan's political and social conditions.

Let us look at the state of our society at this time when our two-in-one leader is set to appear on the world stage and claim high credit for his own and his country's performance. We can be sure that he plays his role rather well. That his image as a confident and impressive ally of the west is in conflict with the headlines Pakistan has generated is something that the international audience would have to sort out.

In any case, the available state of our society is not to be ignored by those who take ground realities into account in deciphering Pakistan's political and social drift. Our American friends, who have a vested interest in the evolution of a tolerant, plural and progressive polity in this country, particularly need to gauge the aftermath of the October elections. At the moment, acts of terrorism and organised violence have portrayed a frightening law and order situation. A six-page spread in the latest issue of Time magazine on Karachi, "Asia's roughest, toughest town" makes scary reading.

Finally, is the choice in Pakistan starkly between President Musharraf and the MMA? This assumption would naturally place President Musharraf in a very strong position from the standpoint of our guardians in Washington DC. But it would not be rational to countenance this equation because it has been contrived by the establishment. Moreover, the king's party, fortified by political turncoats, is forever willing to make a deal with the MMA. We must not forget that the present government has gained its strength from its support to America's war on terror. A logical continuation of that U-turn would be for the ruling establishment to make peace with its traditional adversaries -- the liberal and democratic forces. This would amount to accepting what democracy actually means.

(The writer is a staff member ghazi_salahuddin@hotmail.com)
 


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