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Look east to find terror's new hub

Look east to find terror's new hub

Author: Sabyasachi Bagchi
Publication: The Pioneer
Date: December 11, 2004

Two meta or transformational trends, exported from Bangladesh, pose a real danger for the entire eastern slice of India. These are: One, the infiltration of mllions of Bangladeshi Muslims who have now spread all over India, and, two, Taliban-type Islamic terrorism manned by fundamentalist cadres.

Mass infiltration, designed to force a demographic change in the eastern states of India, and the disproportionate increase of the Muslim population over the growth rate of Hindus (15.67 per cent more without adjustment and 9.21 per cent more with adjustment between 1991-2001as reported by Census 2001) constitute a re-run of the traumatic spectre of the 1940s. Result: The next door neighbour, Bangladesh, is willy-nilly acting as a destabilising force for the entire region.

For terrorists, Bangladesh is serving as a base from which both south and southeast Asian terrorist groups are regrouping under umbrellas offered by the Al -Qaeda, Harkat-ul-Jihad-al-Islami (Huji) Rohingya Solidarity Organisation (RSO), Jemaah Islaiya (JI) etc., besides the ISI of Pakistan. Terrorists from Pakistan, Chechnya, Afghanistan, Saudi Arabia, Myanmar, Malayasia, Singapore, Nepal, India (ULFA, KLO, Bodo etc) and many other countries have reportedly got sanctuary in camps inside Bangladesh where they are getting arms and training in handling explosives. There are about 200 such camps and many of them are well-fortified cave bunkers like the Tora Bora caves of Afghanistan. These camps have huge stocks of arms and ammunition, imported from abroad. There are modern amenities for the trainees. Reports filed by Alex Perry (Time, October 2003), Bertil Linter (Paper presented at the Centre for Security Studies, Honolulu in August 2002), Dr Zachary Abbuza (US House International Sub- Committee) Kimina Lyall (The Australian, September 2003), statements of the chief ministers of the Northeastern states of Tripura, Assam, Meghalaya, West Bengal, as well as the reports of various newspapers of the sub-continent, have given conclusive evidences (of Bangladesh authorities' complicity) supporting and re-inforcing the above facts.

In short, we are witnessing a tectonic shift in terms of terror flash point movement. From Kashmir in the north to the eastern part of India with the epicentre located in Bangladesh. This may evoke familiar shrugs of "so what" from India's intelligentsia, many of them recipients of petro-dollar largesse. But that is not the case with the multitudes of ordinary Indians (more so of eastern India) who are apprehensive of Bangladeshi nationalism drowning the spirit of Indian nationalism.

In India, the concept of nationalism is based on its culture. It is unlike the West, where the parameters are altogether different. Had it not been so, Pakistan would not have harped on the pride of "five thousand years" of cultural lineage when the concept of Islam was not even heard of. The same is the case with Bangladesh too, when Sheikh Hasina reminded her people about their thousand-year heritage. The implication is that political identity can never erase the cultural, inguistic, humanitarian linkages of the people with their locale.

This contention is still valid, but the cultural identity in India is again on the back-foot , ground under the feet of national and international politics. In 1947, the vivisection of India took place ignoring the cultural and ethnic oneness of Bharat. The Muslim League's Lahore principles of 1940 on the partition of India were for the creation of autonomous and sovereign states in the Muslim majority areas of India. It read: "Areas in which the Muslims are numerically in a majority, as in the northwestern and eastern zones of India... grouped to constitute independent states in which the constituent units shall be autonomous and sovereign." An interesting point here is that when Pakistan was created, its constituent units were neither autonomous nor sovereign. On the other hand, the central grip was considered so obsessively suffocating and economically exploitative that ultimately it led to the division of that country within 24 years. The bondage of the religion's ritualistic base did not prove sufficient. Bangladesh was freed with the help of Indian armed forces-the fact they now try to forget.

1971 became inevitable because the people of the erstwhile East Pakistan "saw many attempts to annihilate the language, literature, culture of Bengal and to annex its economy for the benefits of West Pakistan" (Bangladesh, contemporary events and documents, Peoples' Republic of Bangladesh, External Publicity Division). At birth, Bangladesh was secular, but from General Ziaur Rehman's time in 1977, it became Islamic. Strangely, after another 24 years of becoming Islamic, that is in 2001, Begum Khaleda Zia came to power in a four- party coalition with the help of fundamentalist elements. On assuming power, the present BNP government took a 180 degree turn. Bangladesh, by now, had shed the spirit of 1971 and had started turning a blind eye to the process of East Pakistan-type ethnic cleansing being undertaken by fundamentalists. In fact, as per an estimate made for the period between 1974 and 1991, about 475 Hindus left Bangladesh each day for security reasons and took shelter in India as refugees. This was stated by an important Bangladesh human rights activist and writer, Mr Salam Azad, in his book, Hindu Samproday Kano Deshotayg Korche (Why are the Hindus emigrating?)

Incidentally, between 1941 and 1991, the minority Hindu population in Pakistan has come down from 19 per cent to 1.65 per cent, and in Bangladesh it had shrunk from 29.61 per cent to 11.37 per cent. In 1971, when Bangladesh was born, the Hindu population accounted for 14.30 per cent of the population, which may have got reduced to around 10 per cent in 2004. Seeing this, shouldn't we take it as a foregone conclusion that in a predominantly Islamic country there is hardly any place for non-Islamic people? This apprehension is further reinforced when the fundamentalists raise slogans of "Amra sabai Taliban, Bangla hobe Afghanistan" (We have become Taliban and shortly Bangladesh will become Afghanistan). Interestingly, the situation for minority Hindu-Buddhists-Christians inside Bangladesh is such that they are forced to either flee the country of their origin and be refugees in India, or, get converted to Islam. Obviously something has got to be done immediately to check this.

The demographic invasion due to constant infiltration from Bangladesh has created a new dimension for India's national security. As per a news item in Kolkata's Ananda Bazar Patrika of August 18, 1998, the central government is on record as stating there was a total of 1.80 crore Bangladeshi infiltrators living illegally in India, of which 1.20 crore were in West Bengal alone. The West Bengal government, too, admitted the presence of some one crore infiltrators. The Bangladeshi Muslim infiltrators, with the help of political parties, have got ration cards, registered their names in voters' lists and have fathered children here, thereby legitimatising themselves as Indian citizens.

The 2001 Census figures amply establish this fact, when we see that as against the national average of 13.4 per cent, some states like Assam (30.9 per cent) , West Bengal (25.2 per cent), Bihar (16.5 per cent) and Jharkhand (13.8 per cent) have disproportionately high Muslim population levels. If we compare these figures with the provinces adjacent to them, the contrast is mind-boggling. For example, Punjab has a Muslim population of only 1.60 per cent, Haryana 5.82 per cent, Rajasthan 8.52 per cent, Gujarat 9.1 per cent. Such glaring differences would not have been possible had there not been a pattern behind the infiltration. The question, then, is: What is that design? Is this meant to be revenge for the 1971 vivisection of Pakistan, or, is there a plan to merge Assam and West Bengal with the present Bangladesh, itself a pre-1947 idea? The answer perhaps lies in the latter. Bangladesh is no longer the strategic backwater of the east. Events since 9/11 have confirmed that fear.

Every factor necessitating a second partition of India is now neatly stacked against India. We can only blame the failure of the Indian polity for this. A political solution is no longer possible. Only interventions by culture and economics can save the situation for India and South Asia.

(The author, a retired Colonel of the Indian Army, is a leader of the BJP in West Bengal)
 


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